Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Robertiton's avatar

I still don't see the use case for mediocre research. The world doesn't progress on the basis of summaries of information which is mostly wrong (as all original research is) or obvious.

Nevertheless, I'm currently more sanguine about AI than I've ever been before. Some of its applications, particularly in the softer natural sciences like biotech and agriculture are going to lead to extraordinary breakthroughs.

On the other hand, I agree that probably won't come close to justifying the capital expenditure that has already been made and committed. As well as the potential surpassing or replication of current cutting edge models, currently state of the art hardware is going to rapidly become obsolete. There were many people sagely comparing NVidia to a company selling shovels in a gold rush who didn't bother to investigate just what proportion of spending goes on shovels at today's most productive gold mines. I'd rather have shares in Komatsu than Cyclone.

Expand full comment
Philosophy bear's avatar

I take it you're either skeptical that agents will "work" or you think they won't change much?

Expand full comment
2 more comments...

No posts