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Tim Dunlop's avatar

By coincidence, I just saw this, suggesting some big supporters are EA are rethinking their commitment. So, nicely timed!

https://www.semafor.com/article/11/21/2023/how-effective-altruism-led-to-a-crisis-at-openai

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Geoff Edwards's avatar

Thanks for this thoughtful comment, Prof John. However, the proposition that poor people are in the best position to decide what to do with a gift has a number of counter-arguments. First, we know that a proportion of individuals will spend a windfall on disserviceable purposes. The Grameen model of micro-finance (at least in its original incarnation) granted more than 95% of its loans to women because the men in impoverished communities were more likely to spend a windfall on gambling or worse. Second, the proposition sounds uncomfortably like the proposition that brings economic rationalism undone: that everybody is rationally self-interested and can be entrusted to make decisions in their best interest in a free market. On the contrary, we know that there are such things as public goods that individuals can't supply for themselves and that are vital for well-being. (Of course, the proposition has different individual and collective dimensions. There is a large gap between what a competent bureaucracy would provide to a starving individual – a food voucher – and what it would provide to a food insecure population – better farming). Third, it would seem to demean the role of expertise – "We know what to do with our money, we don't need a bureaucracy to advise us ". A significant proportion of the public service spends its time trying to devise better solutions to social problems than individuals would apply by themselves. And finally, it would seem to be congruent with the claim that the reason for the gap in Aboriginal health outcomes is that Aboriginal people don't control the money ( confusing a necessary condition of consultation and involvement with a sufficient one).

Your post accurately identifies many of these exceptions/qualifications; I would argue that the exceptions are sufficiently powerful to render the proposition generally wrong, though sometimes appropriate.

Yes, opportunity cost is a powerful frame. So also is mediation by a competent public authority or civil society group with expertise in addressing the particular needs. The role of a competent entity seems to be missing from both effective altruism and personal virtue. It seems to be missing from the Bill Gates model that because he has lots of money, he knows best how to solve world health. If the central premise of effective altruism is "if you want to help poor people, give them what they most need", it avoids the question of who decides what they most need – the recipient (see above why this isn't always optimal) or the giver (see Bill Gates example above why this isn't always optimal).

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